A television station broadcasts the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate cut on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, US, on Wednesday, Sept. 18, 2024.
Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images
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It seems like September’s hotter-than-expected inflation reading was indeed a blip.
With a snap of its fingers, the producer price index assuaged worries over inflation remaining stubborn. The index, which measures wholesale prices – and thus generally prefigures changes in the CPI – was unchanged in September from August, defying expectations from a Dow Jones survey of a 0.1% increase.
In fact, last week’s inflation figures looked so promising that Goldman Sachs think the Federal Reserve has just about brought inflation down to its 2% target without crashing the economy, as CNBC’s Jeff Cox reports.
While consumer sentiment dipped slightly in October, according to the University of Michigan’s Survey of Consumers, “long run business conditions lifted to its highest reading in six months,” wrote Joanne Hsu, the survey’s director.
JPMorgan Chase’s third-quarter earnings may be the first taste of that. The biggest bank in America beat estimates on both revenue and earnings. As banks generally reflect the health of the broader economy, it’s a signal things aren’t all bad despite dipping consumer confidence.
Admittedly, earnings reflect what has already happened. Investors care more about what’s going to happen. But consumers are “fine and on strong footing,” as JPMorgan’s CFO Jeremy Barnum told reporters.
Markets cheered the string of positive news.
On Friday, the S&P 500 added 0.61%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.97% and the Nasdaq Composite was up 0.33%.
That capped off a winning week for Wall Street – their fifth in a row. The S&P and Nasdaq climbed 1.1%, while the Dow did a bit better with its 1.2% increase for the week.
“What we’re seeing … is a broadening of the market,” said Craig Sterling, head of U.S. equity research at Amundi US.
It’s a reminder that subduing inflation is just a stop toward investors’ real endgame of a healthy stock market.
– CNBC’s Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin and Brian Evans contributed to this story.