Early counting in Queensland is indicating a knife-edge result, with the swing to the Liberal National Party not as strong as anticipated.
Premier Steven Miles and Opposition Leader David Crisafulli spent the final day of the campaign pressing the flesh at polling booths but were in for a long night as counting showed a close-run race.
Early counting on Saturday night indicated a 4.3 per cent swing to the Liberal National Party which needed a 5.7 per cent uniform swing to form government.
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Labor went into the election holding 51 seats to the LNP’s 35, with 47 seats needed to form majority government.
ABC pollster Antony Green said the swing was definitely against the government but it would take longer to work out whether the opposition could form government.
“It is looking like a hung parliament on these numbers but there is more counting to come,” Green said.”It looks like Labor has lost its majority but there isn’t an LNP majority but who will form government?
Mr Crisafulli was tipped to end the Labor government’s nine-year reign after dominating early polling but Premier Steven Miles made up last-minute ground in public opinion.
A Courier Mail exit poll of 2000 voters across the state revealed the LNP had won 33.9 per cent of the vote, with Labor hot on its heels with 33.6 per cent.
Deputy Premier Cameron Dick said soon after polls closed he did not believe his party would be able to form government.
“Anything is possible but I do think it is a challenge for us to get over the line tonight,” Mr Dick told ABC News.
He said his party had made an enormous improvement after facing an “absolute wipeout” in 2023.
Labor Party National President Wayne Swan said it was too early to call, with regional seats the ones to watch.
He said Mr Miles had run one of the best campaigns he had seen in the past 40 years and had boosted the party’s under 40 vote thanks to his policies and TikTok presence.
“It’s been a campaign about the issues and they have achieved great cut through on – their cost of living initiatives which weren’t adopted by the LNP … great cut through when it comes to highlighting the anti-abortion US-style approach of the LNP,” he told AAP.“It has been a first-class campaign which has avoided what could have been a landslide four months ago.”
Early indications showed the LNP on track to gain Townsville, with a 6.9 per cent swing against Labor.
The Labor-held bellwether seat of Barron River was in doubt, with a 1.4 per cent swing to the LNP.
Labor minister Meaghan Scanlon looked set to retain her crucial seat of Gaven on the Gold Coast.
Labor was doing better than expected in the seat of Bundaberg and the Liberals were not seeing the results they had hoped for in Brisbane and the regions.
One seat in no doubt was Traeger, held by Robbie Katter, whose Katter Party preferences could prove vital to the major parties.
Mr Katter could also be a kingmaker in the event of a hung parliament.
He said on Saturday he was keeping an open mind as to who he would support. “You’d be a fool if you’re a minor party that said we’d only deal with one side because there’s only two major parties,” Mr Katter told ABC News.“If you’re saying you’d never do a deal with that side – you’ve got nothing to negotiate, no leverage and you can’t then say we want XYZ.“You can’t demand that if you’ve already picked a side before you get to the dealing table.”
More than 3.6 million people cast their ballots, with two million people turning out to vote early.