2024 Election Results: AtlasIntel Poll in key swing states
The AtlasIntel survey conducted on November 1 and 2 included nearly 2,500 likely voters, with a majority identifying as female. Donald Trump shows a strong lead in Arizona, where he garners 51.9% of the vote against Harris’s 45.1%. In Nevada, Trump receives 51.4% compared to Harris’s 45.9%, while in North Carolina, he leads with 50.4% to Harris’s 46.8%.
The significance of swing states is underscored by their history of close elections; for example, Joe Biden won Arizona by only 10,000 votes in 2020. As voters prepare to cast their ballots, attention turns to these battlegrounds that have the potential to swing the election in favor of either candidate.
US Election 2024 Result: Reuters/Ipsos poll
A Reuters/Ipsos poll from October 29 had shown a different trend, with Kamala Harris leading Trump by a single percentage point at 44% to 43%. Despite maintaining a lead in several prior surveys, Harris’s advantage has diminished over time, raising concerns among her supporters as Election Day nears.
With both candidates intensifying their campaigns in these battleground states, the race remains tight and unpredictable. As voters finalize their decisions, the dynamics in these swing states will play a crucial role in shaping the outcome of the 2024 presidential election.
The New York Times and Siena College polls
According to the The New York Times and Siena College. The poll shows Harris with a slight edge in Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin, while Trump is narrowly ahead in Arizona. The results indicate a close contest that could come down to the wire on Election Day.
Poll finds small margins in key states
The poll surveyed 7,879 likely voters across seven swing states from October 24 to November 2. Along with Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin, and Arizona, the poll also assessed voter preferences in Michigan, Georgia, and Pennsylvania. The findings reveal that in all these states, the candidates’ standings fall within a 3.5 percent margin of error, highlighting the unpredictable nature of the race.
Harris leads among early voters, Trump gains with likely voters
Approximately 40 percent of respondents in the seven states have already cast their ballots, with Harris leading among early voters by an 8-point margin. Trump, however, is reportedly favored among those who are likely to vote on Election Day but have not yet done so. This late support could be crucial in deciding the outcome in states where the race remains close.
Momentum shifts in Pennsylvania as Election Day nears
The race in Pennsylvania—a state where Harris had previously led in The New York Times polls—has tightened significantly. Trump has gained ground there, and Pennsylvania is now classified as a toss-up, potentially playing a decisive role in the election results.
Campaigns ramp up in final days
Both candidates are making final efforts in key states to sway undecided voters. Trump is scheduled to hold events in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia this weekend, while Harris will focus her campaign in Michigan.
As voters in these battleground states prepare to cast their final ballots, the nation remains poised for a close and potentially unpredictable election outcome.
(Inputs from agencies)